Polymarket
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Prediction markets
69 active markets
· category “AI”
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How to trade
Claude 4.8 released by...?
May 31
99%
June 15
99%
2 more
$680K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
59 trading now
GPT-5.6 released by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$4.26M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
61 trading now
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?
1450+
99%
1520+
2%
5 more
$508K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
57 trading now
GPT-5.6 released on...?
July 9
99%
July 14
99%
37 more
$1.01M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Anthropic
99%
Company A
99%
30 more
$144K
Vol.
Aug 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Next Claude Opus released by...?
July 31
99%
July 24
99%
4 more
$214K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?
1490+
99%
1480+
99%
2 more
$37K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?
1480+
2%
1440+
2%
1 more
$65K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
40 trading now
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?
1470+
2%
1480+
2%
2 more
$25K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
38 trading now
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?
1440+
99%
1450+
99%
3 more
$78K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Next Claude Opus released on...?
July 23
51%
July 21
40%
11 more
$20K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
46 trading now
Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$13K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
40 trading now
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