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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “OpenAI”
How it works
How to trade
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$1.08M
Vol.
Dec 31
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
51 trading now
Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?
1450+
99%
1470+
2%
3 more
$219K
Vol.
Dec 31
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
48 trading now
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by July 31?
↓$850B
99%
↑$875B
99%
8 more
$29K
Vol.
Aug 1
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
2nd largest private company end of July?
OpenAI
99%
Databricks
5%
9 more
$11K
Vol.
Aug 1
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
3rd largest private company end of July?
Stripe
99%
Databricks
60%
9 more
$6.3K
Vol.
Aug 1
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
43 trading now
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
37%
chance
Yes
No
$61K
Vol.
Dec 31
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$68
49 trading now
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 2026
99%
Anthropic
18%
30 more
$109K
Vol.
Dec 31
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Largest private company end of July?
Anthropic
99%
Databricks
2%
9 more
$22K
Vol.
Aug 1
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$29K
Vol.
Dec 31
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
49 trading now
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