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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
27%
chance
Yes
No
$1.21M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$93
63 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
29%
5 more
$1.17M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$1.83M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$76
60 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
41%
chance
Yes
No
$352K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$61
46 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
96%
December
27%
5 more
$77K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
43 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
99%
20-40
11%
3 more
$203K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
<50
99%
50-74
46%
3 more
$3.6K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
34 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
27%
chance
Yes
No
$49K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$40
49 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
37-39
56%
31-33
48%
5 more
$5.6K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
41 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M
99%
300M
99%
4 more
$6.8K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
220-229
99%
240-249
41%
4 more
$4.4K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
42 trading now
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